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No Programmers in Five Years? Some Interviews Age Like Milk

The former CEO of Stability AI Emad Mostaque declared that there will be NO MORE human developers by 2028, about 10 months ago.

In an October 2023 letter to Stability’s board, investor Lightspeed Venture Partners said Mostaque’s mismanagement had “severely undermined” its confidence in him’ – somehow he predicted his own demise.

We’ve become accustomed to seeing AI influencers take the stage and predict the future with confidence. Emulating the likes of Musk and Altman, not a day goes by without someone making an inspirational statement about the future of society and work.

In the interview, Mostaque speaks to Peter Diamandis about the AI Revolution:

“An inevitable is 41% of code on GitHub right now is AI generated… to six months.” We do see more and more AI-generated content on most platforms, so this is not controversial per se – although I’m not sure what the % is. “ChatGPT can pass a L3 programmer exam.”

This is correct; however, the conclusion is where I have an issue: “There are NO PROGRAMMERS in five years.”

Diamandis concludes by suggesting to parents that they encourage their children to learn about prompting rather than how to code (in Python).

We’ve seen Nvidia CEO Jensen Huang make similar predictions. I don’t understand this obsession with replacing humans in coding. While the motivation for such statements is clear, they are potentially highly misleading. They assume that passing a coding exam is tantamount to human-level creativity and problem-solving. I firmly disagree. Whatever the coding language, I believe that it is vital for talented programmers to continue improving their coding skills to develop great applications.

Given the lack of insights into the code that LLMs are producing, the role of developers is more important than ever. As the saying goes: ‘garbage in, garbage out’. It’s fine to use AI to accelerate development, especially when dealing with common code sections or templates. Let’s not strive for coding Idiocracy please.

As we know, Mostaque controversially stepped down as CEO of Stability AI in March this year.

Read the full post on LinkedIn

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